Wings Club Monthly Flyer Luncheon
New York, NY
May 19, 2004
Good afternoon.
Jim Guyette, Ken Gazzola, Wings Club board members, ladies and
gentlemen: It is a pleasure to be here, and I very much appreciate the
kind introduction
I have to acknowledge that my introduction to this industry, some twenty
months ago, was not as encouraging.
It seemed at that time that just about everyone had a strong and vocal
opinion about United and our survival.
That interest in United, and the willingness of some to publicly share
their opinions about us, has not abated from that day to this. And many
of the comments are as self-serving today as they were then.
Leaving that aside, I believed then, and I know today, that there is
tremendous potential to be unlocked at United.
United has superb assets, superb assets that were not being managed
effectively;
United is a great brand, a great brand that had been neglected;
United has loyal customers, customers who were not being offered a
compelling or consistent value proposition;
And, just as importantly, United has dedicated employees, employees who
were struggling without clear direction. But United had been directly
and greatly harmed by the attacks of September 11, and had significant
business issues to address before we could begin to realize our
potential.
Our issues included:
A cost structure that was highly uncompetitive;
A balance sheet that was severely over-leveraged;
Lack of alignment between management, supervisors and frontline
employees;
Limited scope, productivity and portfolio authority;
Excess capacity;
An impossible corporate governance structure; and
Leadership that lacked credibility… 4 CEOs in 3 years; 7 CEOs in 15
years. All of this combined to make United a hugely challenged company.
Today, I want to share with you what the people of United have done to
restructure our company to meet these challenges… and to position the
company for success.
United’s Restructuring
We knew, twenty months ago, that United was peering into the
abyss. We had to immediately bring a new discipline to our thinking and
to our work... good, fact based, analytical work would be required if we
were to pull back from the specter of failure and the risk of
liquidation.
We segmented the work on two distinct tracks:
The first track….all the work associated with restructuring in
bankruptcy; and,
The second track, running our operations and our business at a higher
level of employee engagement and performance. With me here today are
Pete McDonald, who is in charge of our operations, and Jake Brace, who
is leading our restructuring efforts.
Pete, Jake and I knew then, what we know today. United had to perform in
a highly competitive marketplace and not be distracted by the complex
work of restructuring.
The cardinal rules in our restructuring are straightforward:
Do it well. Take the time. Take full advantage of every tool of
bankruptcy – that is what Chapter 11 is designed for.
We want to do this once. We want to do it right – and never come back.
As everyone in this rooms knows, and as Bob Crandall recently said, the
challenge of this industry is costs, costs, costs. We have brought our
costs down from among the highest in our peer group to among the most
competitive.
Labor costs will continue to dominate concerns about viability across
the industry… Our new, consensual six-year labor agreements deliver $2.5
billion in annual savings, with wage growth average just over one
percent with no snap-back or wage re-openers.
These agreements are our employees’ investment in this company. Combined
with non-labor savings in business process improvements, which includes
$900 million in reductions in aircraft ownership costs, we will realize
$5 billion in savings next year.
And we have significant upside potential by relentlessly and
continuously attacking a cost structure that will yield to further good
work.
In fact, it has to yield, as the industry experiences sky-rocketing fuel
costs that a rational industry would pass on to the marketplace. This
industry, seemingly, is incapable or unwilling to do so.
At United, on another front, through work rule and scope changes in our
employee agreements, we now have the flexibility we need to be
responsive to market challenges or opportunities.
We are becoming a much more effective and efficient organization. A case
in point is our San Francisco maintenance base, which is being
transformed into a cost competitive, best practice organization… with
improved quality control and insourcing revenue opportunities.
To be responsive in this rapidly changing marketplace, we now have
unlimited code share authority. And we can deploy regional jets wherever
it makes sense for our business and our customers. We have gained the
authority to use marketplace flexibility to competitive advantage.
It is the full participation of our employees and our union leadership
that is driving the pace and scale of these changes.
Because we preserved the options made possible by our unparalleled
network, we have been able to make smart decisions about which markets
to exit – and which ones to add, such as recently announced expanded
service to China, Vietnam and other fast-growing destinations.
Our unit revenue performance has improved. We have used a combination of
route and capacity changes; aggressive marketing and sales initiatives;
restructured business fares; and better inventory management. The
result: our year-over-year unit revenue improvement leads the industry.
In addition to these factors, a major inhibitor to becoming a
competitive organization was our ESOP corporate governance structure.
The significance of this challenge is often overlooked. United has now
been rechartered and has a conventional and transparent governance
structure. Board committees have gone from ten to four and they are
independent. Oversight is focused on financial return and the interests
of all the company’s stakeholders.
As we work through our restructuring, as I said earlier, the second
track - running a good airline for our customers - is critical.
Our customers do not want, nor should they be, part of our
restructuring. They expect that in today’s competitive environment we
should be doing more to earn and retain their loyalty… not less.
We understand this. Our employees understand this… and have delivered
exceptional customer service, despite the distractions and change of the
past three years.
We will continue to work on providing consistent, high-quality customer
service. We have more to do, but we are seeing good solid results.
Last month, United's load factors were the highest for any April in the
company's history. High load factors often lead to delays and frustrated
customers. But, in fact, we achieved our best-ever customer satisfaction
ratings.
Last year was the best on-time performance in United’s history, and last
month was our best ever. In 2002-2003, we led network carriers in
on-time arrival :14. Productivity at United is the best ever.
Performing at this level is essential as we aggressively re-engage with
our customers.
We launched Ted, our new low-fare carrier, in February and customer
response has been excellent. Our research shows that 82 percent of Ted
customers would choose Ted for a future trip, and 76 percent would
recommend Ted to a friend. Load factors for Ted were a remarkable 89% in
March.
Our customers have responded positively to the introduction of a series
of innovative fare offers that have stimulated increased flying. We have
delivered customer enhancements, such as completing the rollout of
Economy Plus across our fleet, the aggressive rollout of our Easy
Check-in kiosks and Mileage Plus improvements.
We do not want to be all things to all people – but we will invest in
what our customers say they value most and where we see the business
potential for the future.
To maintain and improve on this progress, we will support our front line
employees with the tools they need, and, frankly, the leadership they
deserve. We are building a new management team and are filling talent
gaps. Today, 78% of our 40 officers are new to the company or in new
positions.
Employee Commitment/Culture Change
Our success today is in great measure due to our employees’
commitment – and they are doing the hard work necessary to change this
company.
We are aligned in moving this company forward, but it did not happen
over night. We have gone through wrenching change, and we know change is
continuous. We know that we are going to have to compete in a much
different way in a difficult and dynamic marketplace.
I will never say our work is done. What I know is that we are a vastly
different company than we were two years ago. A year ago, we were
burning through millions of dollars of cash every day.
Today, we are executing against a solid business plan that is delivering
results, and we’ve created a strong foundation to build upon.
Our unit revenue was up 14% in the first quarter, while our unit cost,
excluding fuel, was down 14%... both improvements far outpacing the
industry. We dramatically reduced our loss in the first quarter and
expect to record an operating profit in one of the next two quarters.
Were it not for record high fuel prices, I would be able to stand here
and say with some certainty that we would be profitable this quarter.
We are meeting all the targets in our financial plan, excluding the
extraordinary fuel costs I mentioned a little while ago.
Validation of the Work
Moving forward on these two tracks as I have described them has been
challenging. We know first hand why companies try at almost any cost to
avoid Chapter 11. It is complex, it drains resources, and people from
outside the company get intimately involved in your business.
All of our constituent groups, including our banks, JP Morgan and
Citigroup, know every aspect of our plan and performance. It subjects
the work to an intense level of scrutiny that only comes in bankruptcy –
and has not been entirely a bad thing for United.
We have learned from this experience.
The quality of the work is reflected in the unprecedented exit financing
commitment from J.P. Morgan and Citi.
>From the beginning, we have had tremendous support from our four main
DIP lenders – J.P. Morgan, Citibank, CIT and Bank One - and the DIP
syndicate. We have, for our part, met or exceeded our mandatory DIP
covenants throughout the restructuring.
Two of our banks, JP Morgan and Citigroup… three if we consider Bank
One, who will soon be part of JP Morgan Chase… have now committed to $2
billion in exit financing, with $1.6 billion contingent on an ATSB loan
guarantee. There is an unprecedented $400 million in at-risk,
non-guaranteed funding -- 20% of the total -- more than any other ATSB
loan application. As I said, they know our business plan very well.
Industry issues and competitive
environment
For all that we at United and our competitors are doing, we
should not be inhibited by archaic regulations. Complexity is no excuse
for inertia.
More fundamentally, the federal role in the economic decisions of this
industry significantly inhibits our ability to conduct business as other
industries can, and to compete in the global marketplace. Barriers to
consolidation and the burdens of taxes and fees create distortions that
drive illogical behavior.
As long as there are barriers to constructive consolidation, this
industry will not be able to address in any meaningful way our industry
dysfunctionality. Consolidation will continue to occur irrationally and
inefficiently through liquidation.
Thinking the failure of a carrier is a smart model for rationalizing
overcapacity is as dumb a business proposition today as it was in the
days of Eastern, Pan Am, TWA, etc.
In the face of our industry’s complexities, there is a predisposition to
oversimplify.
Such as, the widely held assumption that low-cost carriers will inherit
the skies, and that the network model is obsolete.
Point-to-point carriers have a different cost structure. And they do
deliver a specific service and value to their customers.
But they can’t fly you from Charlottesville to Beijing. They do not have
the connectivity or serve the range of communities United reaches,
through our mainline, United Express, Ted, and our Star Alliance
partners.
It is clear to me that the future will include both network carriers and
low cost operators. But we think the network model is the right model
for United.
We also believe it is all about execution against that model. And that’s
what we have been about at United – restructuring our business to tap
into the inherent strengths of our global network.
Although some are better positioned than others, no single network
carrier or LCC is guaranteed survival. The company that does the best
work wins.
Conclusion – United’s Future
What United is creating today, is a company with the right combination
of assets and attitude to succeed. We have become a company that knows
how to learn. We have even added creativity and flexibility to our
vocabulary.
We will be a company with a relentless focus on costs, critical in this
continuing environment of uncertainty when we are confronted with
challenges such as “a terror premium in the price of fuel”
We will continuously improve operational performance and revenues
We will apply the discipline and rigor of restructuring to the ongoing
business And first and foremost every day, United will never forget that
safety is in our DNA.
Through this work, we are unlocking the potential of United.
We are beginning to rebuild our brand.
We are managing our assets and reengaging with our loyal customers in a
way that will differentiate us in the market place. And our motivated
employees are fully aligned with the direction in which we are headed.
We know we have more to do. There is nothing in this business that is
ever going to be easy.
But United is stronger for this experience.
And we are not slowing down.
It’s time for United to fly.
Thank you very much.