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Subject: Send United to the Great Hangar in the Sky
BUSINESS WORLD By HOLMAN W. JENKINS, JR. ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Holman W. Jenkins Jr. is a member of the editorial board of The Wall
Street Journal and writes editorials and the weekly Business World
column.
Mr. Jenkins joined the Journal in May 1992 as a writer for the editorial
page in New York. In February 1994, he moved to Hong Kong as editor of
The Asian Wall Street Journal's editorial page. He returned to the
domestic Journal in December 1995 as a member of the paper's editorial
board and was based in San Francisco. In April 1997, he returned to the
Journal's New York office. Mr. Jenkins won a 1997 Gerald Loeb Award for
distinguished business and financial coverage.
Born in Philadelphia, Mr. Jenkins received a bachelor's degree from
Hobart and William Smith Colleges in Geneva, N.Y. He received a master's
degree in journalism from Northwestern University in Evanston, Ill., and
studied at the University of Michigan on a journalism fellowship.
Mr. Jenkins invites comments to holman.jenkins@wsj.com.
Send United to the Great Hangar in the Sky May 25, 2005; Page A13
What's wrong with this picture? A federal government agency is getting
stuck with United Airlines' pension obligations, and in return for this
favor United is going to keep flying. By now, shouldn't the price be
that United do the decent thing and disappear, vanish into the night, so
the industry can begin to work off the problem of too many companies
chasing too few passengers?
Federal bankruptcy law and the post 9/11 airline bailout have already
done enough damage. US Airways and America West, both recipients of
federal bailout loans, are merging mainly to make sure they will be "too
big to fail" and thus entitled to a United-style cosseting next time
they get in trouble.
Now United itself will dump its pensions on a taxpayer-backed government
agency, a step that may well provoke other airlines to do the same.
United even gave the government a stake in seeing this outcome come to
pass -- in the form of $1.5 billion in convertible notes held by the
federal Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. The PBGC now finds itself in the
weird position of cheering for United's success at the expense of
carriers whose pension obligations it might have to assume next.
Let's dry our eyes. We've had two weeks for grieving over the pension
plans of United Airlines; maybe we can have a few minutes of realism.
What was lost, really? United's plans still hold $7 billion in assets,
which could have been divvied up among retirees and employees by
seniority. But this option was never considered -- it would have meant
giving up the opportunity to collect, at government expense, an
additional $6.6 billion in benefits promised by United but never backed
by real money.
Be mindful of how these vapor benefits came into being. Until bankruptcy
wiped out its vaunted experiment in worker empowerment, United was 55%
owned by its employees and virtually dominated by the pilots union and
machinists union.
From 1994 on, they controlled two seats on the board, held sway over a
majority of others, and effectively hired and fired the CEO. To boot,
labor didn't hesitate to reinforce its clout by threatening strikes and
engaging in illegal work slowdowns -- a process that eventually led to
the highest wages in the industry. As Rick Dubinsky, head of the pilots
union, told management in 2000: "We don't want to kill the golden goose.
We just want to choke it by the neck until it gives us every last egg."
Well, the goose is on government life-support now. But labor could
always have used its clout to steer more eggs to the pension basket
rather than the paycheck basket. A dirty little secret, however, is that
it would have been crazy to do so. Pension underfunding (really, benefit
overpromising) is too good a bargain to pass up -- a cheap option on
government-paid pension benefits in the event of bankruptcy.
We specify "cheap" rather than "free," because the PBGC does charge a
premium for insuring private pension plans, just not enough to make it
uneconomic for troubled employers to engage in such flimflam. Look at
the agency's main offenders: steel, autos, airlines -- companies with
little hope of long-term prosperity and large, unionized work forces to
keep placated in the meantime.
The pilots at United were in a particularly odd position, since many of
the most senior were nominally entitled to pension benefits far in
excess of the $46k-a-year the PBGC was willing to guarantee. No wonder
their union was quick to propose a bankruptcy workout that would have
given them a big new ownership stake in the carrier in return for
dumping their plan -- oh yes, and on the condition that United also
terminate the plans of lesser-paid employees.
But the larger point here is that defined-benefit pension plans aren't
going out of style because they're structurally defective. They're going
out of style because of a government-created incentive for weak
companies to award more benefits than they have any hope or intention of
funding.
In the wake of United's pension default, those worried about too much
risk being placed on employees to manage their own savings might
consider a solution: Abolish or privatize the PBGC. We might find that
traditional pensions, if properly funded, have some life in them yet as
a way for workers to guarantee predictable retirement income and insure
against longevity. In fact, there's no reason such plans couldn't be
adapted to fit today's more fluid corporate environment and personal job
histories.
In the meantime, the whole purpose of trying to legislate away some of
capitalism's hard edges for workers and companies has come sadly unstuck
in the airline business. Somehow the industry has to reduce itself to a
smaller handful of more efficient network carriers that can maintain
service to smaller markets even in the face of cherry-picking by
Southwest, Jet Blue and their low-cost brethren. And if ever a company
has earned the fate of being the odd man out, United is it.
It's spent nearly three years in bankruptcy, shucking off labor
contracts, debts and now employee pensions, but still loses money.
United hasn't yet received its hoped-for federal bailout loan, but the
bailout board did stretch its own rules to keep the window open, helping
forestall a harsher fate in the private capital markets. House Speaker
Denny Hastert, who lobbied fiercely on United's behalf, told the Chicago
Tribune later that dismemberment at the hands of Delta and American
would have been the likely result for United.
Dismemberment is still a good idea -- in fact, we proposed it here two
years ago and even nominated Treasury Secretary John Snow to be in
charge, given his role in a remarkably similar dissection of Conrail
when he was a private railroad executive. An orderly liquidation of
United is an even better idea now that the federal government and
taxpayers face an urgent need to get off the hook for a potential
industry-wide airline pension default
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